~7 MIN
Intro
In this PoE 2 Orb of Chance Guide, you’ll discover everything about the mechanics behind this powerful currency item. Whether you’re aiming to craft a unique item or just experimenting with rare bases, knowing how to use Chance Orbs properly will save your currency and increase your success rate.
This guide covers:
- What Chance Orbs do and how chancing works
- Where to get Orbs of Chance in PoE 2
- What affects the chance of success
- Strategic usage tips
- How to avoid wasting your precious orbs
💡 Looking for a faster way to secure your dream unique? Our experts at Onlyfarms.gg can help you farm or directly obtain the rarest items without gambling.
1. How Orb of Chance Works in PoE 2
The Orb of Chance is a staple crafting currency in Path of Exile 2. Its main function is to upgrade a normal (white) item into a randomly generated magic, rare, or unique version of the same base item.
Using this orb on an appropriate base item gives you a small chance to obtain a unique, a moderate chance for rare, and a high chance to receive a magic item. This process is commonly referred to as “chancing”.
🔍 Core Mechanics of PoE 2 Chancing
| Mechanic | Explanation |
|---|---|
| 🎯 Base Match Required | You must use the Orb on the base item corresponding to the unique you’re targeting. E.g., Ornate Belt → Ryslatha’s Coil |
| 📦 Unique Availability | Not all base types have unique versions. Make sure you’re using a base that actually has a unique counterpart |
| 🔢 Drop Rarity Matters | Common uniques are easier to chance. Rare uniques have drastically lower odds |
| 🔄 No Refunds | Once used, the orb is consumed — success or failure |
| 💣 True RNG | Chancing is not pity-based. You can use 1 or 1,000 Orbs without guaranteed success |
💡 Example: Using an Orb of Chance on a Fine Belt gives you a ~1.175% chance to get Shavronne’s Satchel and a 98.825% chance to get something else (or nothing special at all).
2. How to Get Orbs of Chance in PoE 2
Orbs of Chance are a mid-tier currency that drop fairly often, but when you’re targeting specific uniques, you’ll want to gather them efficiently. Whether you’re planning to mass-chance or just want to have some in reserve, there are multiple ways to obtain this currency.
📋 Main Ways to Farm Orbs of Chance
| Method | Details |
|---|---|
| Random Drops | Orbs of Chance can drop from any enemy, chest, or container throughout Wraeclast. Higher-tier maps = better drop consistency. |
| Disenchanting Uniques | Visit NPCs in town and trade unwanted unique items for Chance Shards. 10 shards = 1 Orb. |
| Player Trading | You can buy Orbs of Chance from other players using PoE 2 trading platforms or bulk deals. |
| Vendor Recipes | In some patches, vendor recipes may yield Chance Orbs in exchange for specific rare sets (TBD in PoE 2 balance). |
💡 Tip: If you’re running low and don’t want to grind maps or break down items manually, you can purchase currency bundles with guaranteed Orbs of Chance in them.
🔄 Chance Shards Explained
Disenchanting works as a recycling system. Whenever you break down a unique item at a vendor, you receive Chance Shards, which automatically stack in your currency tab. Once you collect 10 shards, they are converted into a full Orb of Chance.
This makes it worthwhile to:
- Pick up all low-value uniques during your runs
- Use auto-loot or loot filters to highlight vendor bait
- Prioritize zones with higher unique drop density
3. PoE 2 Chancing Success Factors
Using an Orb of Chance in Path of Exile 2 might feel simple, but the outcome depends on multiple hidden variables. If you’re trying to chance a specific unique item, it’s essential to understand what influences your chances — and how to avoid wasting hundreds of orbs.
Let’s break down the key factors that impact the success rate of chancing.
📊 What Affects Orb of Chance Results?
| Factor | Explanation |
|---|---|
| Multiple Unique Outcomes | Some base items can lead to multiple possible uniques. The Orb will randomly pick one — most likely the common one. |
| Item Level Requirements | Certain uniques require the base item to be a minimum item level. If your item is too low, chancing it will never produce that unique. |
| League or Event Restrictions | Some uniques are league-exclusive, seasonal, or event-only and cannot be obtained via Orbs of Chance in standard gameplay. |
| Rarity Bias | Common uniques (like Springleaf) have significantly higher chancing odds than rare ones like Headhunter. |
| Base Item Availability | If a base type doesn’t have a unique version, using Chance Orbs on it is a guaranteed waste. |
🧪 Example Chancing Odds
Here are a few illustrative examples to help you understand how chancing actually plays out in PoE 2:
| Base Item | Target Unique | Chance to Obtain | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fine Belt | Shavronne’s Satchel | ~1.175% | High Spirit roll required |
| Recurve Bow | Splinterheart | ~15% | Higher than average chance |
| Ornate Belt | Ryslatha’s Coil | Very Low (~0.5%) | Rare drop, expensive gamble |
| Simple Buckler | Springleaf | High (~25%+) | Example of an easily chanced unique |
💡 Note: These values are approximate and based on community drop analysis — PoE 2 doesn’t officially publish exact orb conversion rates.
🔥 Should You Chance or Not?
Chancing is a form of crafting roulette — you either hit big or walk away with another rare. That’s why many players prefer to buy the item directly or request a targeted drop carry from pro teams.
And if you’d rather skip the RNG entirely, you can always order your desired unique directly — no wasted Orbs, no frustration, just results.
4. PoE 2 Orb of Chance Strategy
Using Orbs of Chance effectively is more than just spam-clicking white items. In Path of Exile 2, smart chancing can lead to high-profit uniques or powerful early-game gear — but it all depends on what, how, and when you choose to use them.
Below you’ll find a practical breakdown of how to maximize your odds and returns while minimizing waste.
📌 Strategic Tips for Efficient Chancing
| Strategy | Why It Works |
|---|---|
| 🎯 Target High-Value Uniques | Always prioritize uniques that are expensive or build-defining. Even with low odds, the value justifies the risk. |
| 📈 Check Market Trends | Focus on chancing gear that’s in high demand — e.g., new meta builds or unique-dependent mechanics. |
| 🧩 Verify Base Item Validity | Double-check that your target unique actually exists for that base item and that the item level meets its requirements. |
| ♻️ Prepare Bulk Bases | Gather dozens of white bases (via loot filters or vendors) before using your Chance Orbs — reduces travel time and increases consistency. |
| 💡 Avoid Wasting Orbs Early | Don’t start chancing rare uniques in early game zones — wait until mapping when drop rates and base quality improve. |
🧾 Should You Chance or Buy?
Here’s how to decide between chancing for an item or buying it directly:
- 💰 If the unique is cheap or common → Buy or self-chance
- 🧠 If the unique is rare, expensive, or league-limited → Consider buying it or farming with help from trusted services
💡 Reminder: Chancing is exciting but unpredictable. When you need a guaranteed result — for example, to complete a build or flip an item — it’s often more cost-effective to skip the gamble.
5. Final Thoughts: Mastering Orb of Chance in PoE 2
The Orb of Chance remains one of the most versatile yet risky currencies in Path of Exile 2. Whether you’re a gambler looking for big wins or a methodical crafter planning your progress, understanding how chancing works — and when it’s worth it — makes all the difference.
Remember:
- Use the correct base item
- Confirm the item level matches the unique’s requirements
- Don’t waste orbs on bases without unique outcomes
- Target high-value gear when the risk is worth the payoff
And if you’d rather skip the grind, Onlyfarms offers fast, reliable delivery of rare uniques, build-defining items, or even full loadouts — without the need to burn hundreds of Chance Orbs.
Take control of your PoE 2 journey. Make each orb count.