Projected Item: What Does It Mean in RBLX?

A projected item in Roblox trading is a Limited whose Recent Average Price (RAP) has been pushed up on purpose, usually by selling or buying a copy at an unrealistically high price. The item then looks far more valuable on paper than it really trades for, and traders who go by RAP alone can overpay badly.

How It Works

Every Roblox Limited has a RAP, shown on its price chart. Trading site Rolimon's explains the formula: a new Limited starts at 0, the first sale sets the RAP, and after that each sale moves it by one tenth of the gap between the sale price and the current RAP (RAP + (sale price - RAP) / 10). A sale above RAP pulls it up and a sale below RAP pulls it down.

That formula is what projection exploits. Someone buys a copy of a cheap, slow-selling Limited at a huge price on purpose, or a hoarder buys up many copies at inflated prices. Each of those sales lifts the RAP. The item now shows a big number, and the owner tries to trade it as if it were worth that much.

Projections rarely last. Once other copies start selling at their real market price, which is usually far below the projected RAP, the RAP drops with every sale. Rolimon's notes that copies often sell well below the projected RAP, which drags it back down. Very rare items are the exception: because they trade so rarely, the inflated RAP can stay high for a long time.

Where You'll See It

• Rolimon's projected tag: Rolimon's marks items with a "Projected" tag when their RAP has recently been artificially inflated, and keeps a public list of projected items.
• Trade offers: projected items often appear in offers where the other side's RAP total looks higher than yours.
• Price charts: a sudden vertical spike after a long flat line is the classic sign.
• Value versus RAP: trading communities use a separate "value", an estimate of what an item really trades for. Rolimon's says values are more reliable than RAP for this, and a projected item's RAP sits well above its value.

Tips

• Judge items by value, not RAP. RAP only reflects past sales and is easy to move; value tracks real trades.
• Check the sales history. One or two sales far above the usual price, with nothing in between, point to projection.
• Look at demand. A high RAP on an item that almost never trades is a red flag. Items with real demand trade often and at similar prices.
• Avoid trading for projected items unless you understand the market well. That is also Rolimon's own advice.
• Count both sides with value. Add up the values of everything in a trade instead of comparing RAP totals.
• Use the official trade window. Trade through Roblox's own trade system and check every item name there before accepting.
• Watch for look-alike sites. Make sure you are on the real rolimons.com when checking values.

FAQ

What does "projected" mean on Rolimon's?

It is a tag for Limiteds whose RAP has recently been raised artificially, through an unnaturally high sale or a hoarder buying up copies. The tag warns that the RAP is not a fair price.

Why do people project items?

To trade a cheap Limited as if it were worth its inflated RAP. Trading communities treat it as manipulation, so the safest approach is to assume a projected item is worth its value, not its RAP.

Can a projected item still be a good trade?

Sometimes, if you get it at or below its real value and plan to keep it. If you trade it away at its projected RAP, expect experienced traders to refuse.

How long does a projection last?

Usually not long. As copies sell at normal prices, the RAP drops with each sale. For very rare items with few sales, it can take much longer.